The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

Crypto gamblers are crying foul as they stand to lose millions of dollars in a bet over whether Ukraine's president would ...

One name absent from the list is Katie Miller, Musk’s right-hand woman at DOGE, who departed her work in government when Musk ...

The price of "yes" has now plummeted to $0.04 from $0.19, giving an implied probability of outcome at just 4%. The "yes" ...

Polymarket users are split as to who will take over as CEO of X. A very thin majority of users believe no one will be named ...

A Polymarket dispute over Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's attire exposes crypto oracle vulnerabilities, threatening ...

Polymarket is facing the anger of its community, after the market on whether Zelenskyy would wear a suit by July resolved to ...

Discontent over the market’s resolution has reignited scrutiny of UMA’s dispute system and the influence of large Polymarket ...

Polymarket ruled "No" on whether Zelenskyy wore a suit despite widespread media coverage suggesting otherwise.

Is it a suit or not? Volodymyr Zelenskyy's outfit has millions of dollars riding on that question at one prediction market.

Perceived odds of a U.S. recession peaked at 66% back in April as Wall Street banks were raising red flags, yet they have ...