The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

One name absent from the list is Katie Miller, Musk’s right-hand woman at DOGE, who departed her work in government when Musk ...

The price of "yes" has now plummeted to $0.04 from $0.19, giving an implied probability of outcome at just 4%. The "yes" ...

Crypto gamblers are crying foul as they stand to lose millions of dollars in a bet over whether Ukraine's president would ...

Polymarket users are split as to who will take over as CEO of X. A very thin majority of users believe no one will be named ...

A Polymarket dispute over Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's attire exposes crypto oracle vulnerabilities, threatening ...

Polymarket is facing the anger of its community, after the market on whether Zelenskyy would wear a suit by July resolved to ...

Discontent over the market’s resolution has reignited scrutiny of UMA’s dispute system and the influence of large Polymarket ...

The Federal Bureau of Investigation seized the phone of the founder and CEO of Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market that became a popular platform for wagering on the U.S. presidential ...

Perceived odds of a U.S. recession peaked at 66% back in April as Wall Street banks were raising red flags, yet they have ...

This news comes one day after Bloomberg reported that Kalshi’s biggest but regulatory-troubled rival Polymarket is raising $200 million at around a $1 billion pre-money valuation, led by Founders Fund ...