The National Hurricane Center says an area of low pressure that is brewing in the Caribbean is likely to develop by the early to middle part of next week.

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor three areas for potential tropical development in the next 2-7 days.

The odds of a tropical disturbance developing in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico have increased, according to the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) Thursday advisory.

The next tropical threat to the U.S. is brewing in the Caribbean as there are increasing signs that the ingredients needed for a tropical storm or even a hurricane are coming together.

Forecast models continue to advertise slow tropical development beginning next week across the northwestern Caribbean, with a system that could pivot into the southern Gulf of Mexico by the middle to latter part of the week.

As tropical activity in the Atlantic Ocean quiets down again, attention is shifting back to the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, where the National Hurricane Center is now officially monitoring the area for tropical development.

* The Caribbean &/or Southern Gulf of Mexico may be an area to carefully monitor next week for tropical development. This is a favored area for genesis later in Sept. & virtually all forecast models indicate low pressure “of some sort” gradually developing. However, consistency amongst the models is seriously lacking.

Wind shear (red - strong shear; green - low shear):

National Hurricane Center is continuing to forecast the development of a tropical disturbance that could move into the Gulf of Mexico next week and become a tropical depression. The disturbance hasn’t formed yet,