Doug Schwartz is affiliated with the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR). As the director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, which has been taking the pulse of the public on policy ...
In presidential elections, even the smallest changes in horse-race poll results seem to become imbued with deep meaning. But they are often overstated. Pollsters ...
NBC News’ Carrie Dann explains how we get our polling numbers together and breaks down the margin of error.May 31, 2016 © 2025 NBCUniversal Media, LLC ...
Andrew Gelman, a professor in the departments of statistics and political science at Columbia University, explains. A "3 percent margin of error" means that there is a 95 percent chance that the ...
Understanding the confidence interval will help you grasp what an election poll is -- or is not -- saying. As you might have guessed, the media consistently gets it wrong. Candidate Gobermouch is ...
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