Feb 24, 2025 · In 2023, we made changes to the way we calculated our favorability, approval, generic congressional ballot and national 2024 Republican primary polling averages.

[ { "candidate": "Trump", "party": "REP", "date": "2024-11-05", "pct_estimate": 47.70895, "hi": 48.774834999999996, "lo": 46.7367025 }, { "candidate": "Harris ...

Nov 17, 2022 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

FiveThirtyEight

Jan 5, 2021 · All runoff polls FiveThirtyEight’s averages use all runoff polls conducted since the Nov. 3 general election. We adjust polls for house effects based on how much each poll differs from the …

Jan 13, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight is tracking polls that ask whether respondents support removing President Trump from office before the end of his term.

Apr 7, 2020 · Who will win the Ohio primary? Ohio will vote on April 28th. This state releases its results after Bernie Sanders dropped out on April 8. These results do not affect the overall forecast. See the …

Jun 18, 2019 · The Model’s Output DATE OF RUN: POLLS ANALYZED: DAYS UNTIL ELECTION: 11/04/14 1670 0

Oct 31, 2020 · More people than ever are voting by mail this year due to the pandemic, and mail ballots take longer to count than ballots cast at polling places. But because each state has its own rules for …

Feb 25, 2025 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.