Base Rate Fallacy Overview & Examples
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Base Rate Fallacy Overview & Examples
Learn about base rate fallacy. Discover the problems with base rate neglect, learn the importance of base rate information, and study base rate fallacy examples.
899 viewsJan 18, 2017
Base Rate Fallacy Psychology
So I found yet another example of a logical fallacy in our comments section about raw milk! This one is called the base rate fallacy. In a nutshell, raw milk appears safe because compared to things like leafy greens, there are a whole lot less reported cases of people getting sick. But when you take into account the total number of people eating leafy greens and drinking raw milk, you find that it’s *much more likely* for a person to get sick from raw milk. | Making Sense of Science
1:38
So I found yet another example of a logical fallacy in our comments section about raw milk! This one is called the base rate fallacy. In a nutshell, raw milk appears safe because compared to things like leafy greens, there are a whole lot less reported cases of people getting sick. But when you take into account the total number of people eating leafy greens and drinking raw milk, you find that it’s *much more likely* for a person to get sick from raw milk. | Making Sense of Science
FacebookMaking Sense of Science
885 views3 weeks ago
Don’t fall for this common fallacy! | Food Science Babe
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Don’t fall for this common fallacy! | Food Science Babe
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11K views · 94 reactions | On 10/20/21, 49 of the 199 North Dakotans hospitalized due to COVID-19 are fully vaccinated. Dr. Paul Carson from the NDSU Center for Immunization Research & Education explains how the "base rate fallacy" may be affecting your perception of that number. | ND Health and Human Services | Facebook
2:35
11K views · 94 reactions | On 10/20/21, 49 of the 199 North Dakotans hospitalized due to COVID-19 are fully vaccinated. Dr. Paul Carson from the NDSU Center for Immunization Research & Education explains how the "base rate fallacy" may be affecting your perception of that number. | ND Health and Human Services | Facebook
FacebookND Health and Human
11.9K views1 month ago
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10 Base Rate Fallacy Examples
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Comment the word REMO and I’ll help you avoid this! Mortgage Rate Increases: What You Need to Know for Your 2026 Remortgage And What Is The Collectors Fallacy? | Shaw Financial Services
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85K views · 32K reactions | The defense against base rate fallacy is to never accept a stat at face value, and always look for the underlying statistics. I cover this and other manipulation tactics in Clear Thinker, which you can check out a preview at ClearThinkerAcademy.com Comment Clear and I’ll DM you the link. | thatskaizen | Facebook
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85K views · 32K reactions | The defense against base rate fallacy is to never accept a stat at face value, and always look for the underlying statistics. I cover this and other manipulation tactics in Clear Thinker, which you can check out a preview at ClearThinkerAcademy.com Comment Clear and I’ll DM you the link. | thatskaizen | Facebook
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So I found yet another example of a logical fallacy in our comments section about raw milk! This one is called the base rate fallacy. In a nutshell, raw milk appears safe because compared to things like leafy greens, there are a whole lot less reported cases of people getting sick. But when you take into account the total number of people eating leafy greens and drinking raw milk, you find that it’s *much more likely* for a person to get sick from raw milk. | Making Sense of Science
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